FOOTBALLBETTING HUB

History

Every best pick of the day, written down before the match and graded afterwards.

176 picks158 settledgraded on the result, not on a price
What the picks did
96–57 62.7% landed against 61.5% claimed · 18 still to play
Landing where it said it would
96 landed against 94.1 claimed, over 158 settled pick(s).
Landed
62.7%
said 61.5%
Settled
158
2 void, 3 with no result
9 pick(s) are waiting on results that have not arrived
Their matches have been played, but the results file for those leagues stops earlier (BL2 to 11 Oct, FL2 to 12 Oct, IRL-PREMIERD to 12 Oct, JPN-J1LEAGUE to 11 Oct). Some sources publish a few days late, and these settle once the results arrive.
3 pick(s) settled with no result
Their match was never played within the week a postponed fixture is still counted as the same one, and the league has since played on past it. The stake is returned, so these sit outside the hit rate and outside the P&L — but they are closed, not waiting.

Wins against the claim, pick by pick

The line is the running count of wins less the running sum of what the picks claimed, in the order they were played: on zero, the record is exactly where it said it would be. The shaded band is where an honest forecast sits about 95 times in 100 at any one point, and it widens as picks are added, because a count of wins spreads as the claims pile up. A line that leaves it and stays out is a claim that is not the truth.

By price band

Pooling the bands hides the failure worth catching: a forecast can be honest at 70% and overconfident at 40%. Read did against said in each row, not the money.

BandRecordDidSaidPending
Safe40–1080.0%76.6%6
Best30–2356.6%62.0%6
Longer26–2452.0%45.8%6

By market

The calibrators are fitted one market at a time, and a market that has gone wrong on its own can hide inside a band's pooled record.

MarketRecordDidSaidPending
Team goals31–2654.4%60.4%10
Total goals24–1168.6%66.9%3
Corners21–872.4%62.7%3
Both teams to score6–650.0%47.7%0
Draw no bet4–357.1%66.2%0
Double chance5–183.3%59.0%1
Handicap4–266.7%58.8%0
1X21–0100.0%61.1%1

Every single pick

Written down before kick-off and never edited afterwards. One per price band per match day, so Saturday's picks are logged on Thursday at Thursday's price: a later build of the card before the match keeps the first answer, because a ledger that follows whichever pick currently looks best would show a flattering history and mean nothing.

DayBandLeagueMatchSelectionConfidenceFairScoreResult
2026-10-21LongerJ1 LeagueFagiano Okayama v Mito HollyHockHome win49.6%2.02–Pending
2026-10-21BestMLSFC Cincinnati v D.C. UnitedAway team under 1.5 goals62.5%1.60–Pending
2026-10-21SafeJ1 LeagueShimizu S Pulse v FC Machida ZelviaUnder 3.5 goals76.6%1.31–Pending
2026-10-20LongerLeague TwoExeter City v Crewe AlexandraOver 9.5 corners50.0%2.00–Pending
2026-10-20BestLeague TwoGillingham v Port ValeAway team under 1.5 goals62.5%1.60–Pending
2026-10-20SafeLeague TwoBristol Rovers v Salford CityAway team over 0.5 goals76.6%1.31–Pending
2026-10-19LongerEkstraklasaWisła Płock v Radomiak RadomDraw or away (X2)49.6%2.02–Pending
2026-10-19BestAllsvenskanDegerfors IF v Kalmar FFAway team under 1.5 goals62.4%1.60–Pending
2026-10-19SafePrimeira LigaBraga v Gil VicenteUnder 3.5 goals76.6%1.31–Pending
2026-10-18SafeAllsvenskanHalmstads BK v Hammarby IFAway team over 1.5 goals76.6%1.31–Pending
2026-10-18BestJ1 LeagueFagiano Okayama v Vissel KobeAway team under 1.5 goals62.5%1.60–Pending
2026-10-18Longer2. BundesligaArminia Bielefeld v VfL OsnabrückOver 10.5 corners49.9%2.01–Pending
2026-10-17LongerPremier LeagueEverton v ChelseaAway team over 1.5 goals50.0%2.00–Pending
2026-10-17BestEkstraklasaMotor Lublin v Śląsk WrocławAway team under 1.5 goals62.5%1.60–Pending
2026-10-17SafeJ1 LeagueHiroshima Sanfrecce FC v Kyoto Purple SangaAway team under 1.5 goals76.7%1.30–Pending
2026-10-16LongerSerie AFrosinone v SassuoloOver 10.5 corners49.9%2.01–Pending
2026-10-16BestLigue 2Annecy FC v NancyHome team under 1.5 goals62.4%1.60–Pending
2026-10-16SafePremier DivisionGalway United v Shamrock RoversOver 1.5 goals76.6%1.31–Pending
2026-10-15LongerMLSReal Salt Lake v San Jose EarthquakesDraw or away (X2)49.2%2.031–1Won
2026-10-15BestLiga ProfesionalAtlético Huracán v Gimnasia La PlataAway team over 0.5 goals62.3%1.601–2Won
2026-10-15SafeMLSFC Dallas v Seattle Sounders FCHome or away (12)76.9%1.301–0Won
2026-10-14BestMLSCF Montreal v Atlanta United FCOver 2.5 goals61.8%1.620–3Won
2026-10-14SafeChampionshipQueens Park Rangers v Derby CountyOver 1.5 goals76.4%1.314–1Won
2026-10-14LongerMLSToronto FC v Orlando City SCAway team over 1.5 goals49.9%2.003–3Won
2026-10-13BestChampionshipWrexham AFC v West Bromwich AlbionOver 8.5 corners61.8%1.621–2Won
2026-10-13SafeChampionshipStoke City v MiddlesbroughAway team under 2.5 goals76.5%1.312–3Lost
2026-10-13LongerChampionshipWolverhampton Wanderers v Bolton WanderersOver 10.5 corners49.2%2.031–3Won
2026-10-12LongerEliteserienKFUM v VålerengaAway team over 1.5 goals49.9%2.002–1Lost
2026-10-12BestPremier LeagueCoventry City v Newcastle UnitedHome team under 1.5 goals62.3%1.604–1Lost
2026-10-12SafeSegunda DivisiónBurgos CF v Granada CFUnder 3.5 goals76.6%1.310–1Won
2026-10-11SafeBundesliga (Germany)1. FC Köln v Borussia MonchengladbachOver 7.5 corners76.7%1.302–1Won
2026-10-11LongerPrimeira LigaBenfica v Vitória SCUnder 9.5 corners49.9%2.002–0Lost
2026-10-11BestEliteserienIK Start v HamKamAway team under 1.5 goals62.5%1.602–4Lost
2026-10-10BestMLSNew England Revolution v Seattle Sounders FCAway team under 1.5 goals62.4%1.600–3Lost
2026-10-10SafePremier LeagueAston Villa v BrentfordOver 7.5 corners76.7%1.302–2Lost
2026-10-10LongerSuper League (Greece)PAOK Thessaloniki v Kalamata FCUnder 9.5 corners49.9%2.011–3Won
2026-10-09LongerLiga ProfesionalAldosivi Mar del Plata v Sarmiento de JuninAway draw-no-bet50.0%2.001–3Won
2026-10-09BestSérie APalmeiras v BahiaHome team over 1.5 goals62.5%1.601–0Lost
2026-10-09SafeSérie AFluminense v CoritibaOver 1.5 goals75.9%1.324–0Won
2026-10-08SafeSérie ASantos v FlamengoAway team under 2.5 goals76.5%1.312–2Won
2026-10-08LongerVeikkausliigaKuPS Kuopio v AC OuluNot both teams to score49.5%2.020–1Won
2026-10-08BestVeikkausliigaHJK Helsinki v VPS VaasaHome win61.1%1.646–0Won
2026-10-07BestSérie ARemo v GrêmioHome draw-no-bet60.8%1.651–1Void
2026-10-07SafeSérie AInternacional v CorinthiansUnder 3.5 goals76.6%1.312–1Won
2026-10-07LongerSérie ABragantino-SP v MirassolHome team under 1.5 goals48.7%2.051–1Won
2026-10-06BestLiga ProfesionalBanfield v Rosario CentralHome team over 0.5 goals60.2%1.661–1Won
2026-10-05LongerLiga ProfesionalVelez Sarsfield BA v PlatenseAway team under 0.5 goals48.8%2.052–2Lost
2026-10-05BestLiga ProfesionalEstudiantes de Río Cuarto v Racing ClubUnder 2.5 goals62.4%1.601–2Lost
2026-10-05SafeLiga ProfesionalEstudiantes v Gimnasia MendozaUnder 3.5 goals76.6%1.313–0Won
2026-10-04LongerSegunda DivisiónReal Sociedad B v Granada CFOver 2.5 goals49.4%2.022–3Won

Accumulator picks

A separate book. A four-leg slip at 33% and a single at 62% have nothing to say to each other, so they never share a hit rate or a total — and nor do two slip sizes, so each keeps its own record, starting the day it was first written down. A void leg drops out and the slip settles on what is left, as a bookmaker would.

Record
24–28
6 still to play
Hit rate
46.2%
said 34.1%
Legs landing
3.1 of 4
on average
Slips recorded
58
since 14 Aug · 7 settled a leg short
IssuedSelectionsChanceFairLandedResult
2026-10-19
  • Tue 20 OctCheltenham Town v Fleetwood TownHome team over 0.5 goals76%
  • Mon 19 OctGetafe v Rayo VallecanoUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Tue 20 OctGillingham v Port ValeUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Mon 19 OctDegerfors IF v Kalmar FFUnder 3.5 goals76%
33.0%3.03–Pending
2026-10-18
  • Sun 18 OctNEC Nijmegen v Fortuna SittardUnder 4.5 goals76%
  • Sun 18 OctNottingham Forest v ArsenalAway team under 2.5 goals76%
  • Tue 20 OctCheltenham Town v Fleetwood TownHome team over 0.5 goals76%
  • Sun 18 OctGranada CF v Cádiz CFUnder 11.5 corners76%
33.2%3.01–Pending
2026-10-17
  • Sun 18 OctNottingham Forest v ArsenalAway team under 2.5 goals76%
  • Sat 17 OctAccrington Stanley v GillinghamUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Sat 17 OctPadova v Virtus EntellaUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Sat 17 OctSD Eibar v MallorcaUnder 11.5 corners76%
33.2%3.01–Pending
2026-10-16
  • Sun 18 OctNottingham Forest v ArsenalAway team under 2.5 goals76%
  • Sat 17 OctAccrington Stanley v GillinghamUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Sat 17 OctNantes v USL DunkerqueUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Sat 17 OctPadova v Virtus EntellaUnder 11.5 corners76%
33.2%3.01–Pending
2026-10-15
  • Sat 17 OctAccrington Stanley v GillinghamUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Sat 17 OctNantes v USL DunkerqueUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Sat 17 OctPadova v Virtus EntellaUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Sat 17 OctSD Eibar v MallorcaUnder 11.5 corners76%
33.2%3.01–Pending
2026-10-14
  • Wed 14 OctPortsmouth v Sheffield UnitedOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Thu 15 OctChicago Fire v Philadelphia UnionUnder 4.5 goals76%
  • Wed 14 OctCF Montreal v Atlanta United FCHome team under 2.5 goals76%
  • Wed 14 OctColumbus Crew SC v Charlotte FCAway team over 0.5 goals76%
33.1%3.024/4Won
2026-10-13
  • Wed 14 OctPortsmouth v Sheffield UnitedOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Thu 15 OctChicago Fire v Philadelphia UnionUnder 4.5 goals76%
  • Wed 14 OctCF Montreal v Atlanta United FCHome team under 2.5 goals76%
  • Wed 14 OctColumbus Crew SC v Charlotte FCAway team over 0.5 goals76%
33.1%3.024/4Won
2026-10-12
  • Mon 12 OctGKS Katowice v Wieczysta KrakówUnder 4.5 goals76%
  • Wed 14 OctColumbus Crew SC v Charlotte FCAway +1.576%
  • Mon 12 OctFamalicão v AlvercaUnder 3.5 goals76%
  • Tue 13 OctWrexham AFC v West Bromwich AlbionUnder 3.5 goals76%
32.7%3.062/4Lost
2026-10-11
  • Sun 11 OctAris Thessaloniki v Volos FCOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Mon 12 OctChapecoense v Atletico ParanaenseOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Mon 12 OctReal Valladolid CF v AlbaceteOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Sun 11 OctBenfica v Vitória SCUnder 4.5 goals76%
33.2%3.014/4Won
2026-10-10
  • Sat 10 OctSaint Etienne v Rodez AFUnder 4.5 goals76%
  • Sat 10 OctAcadémico de Viseu v EstorilOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Sat 10 OctMjällby AIF v Degerfors IFOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Sun 11 OctAris Thessaloniki v Volos FCOver 1.5 goals76%
33.2%3.014/4Won
2026-10-09
  • Sat 10 OctSaint Etienne v Rodez AFUnder 4.5 goals76%
  • Sat 10 OctAcadémico de Viseu v EstorilOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Sat 10 OctMjällby AIF v Degerfors IFOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Sat 10 OctWest Bromwich Albion v Birmingham CityOver 1.5 goals76%
33.2%3.013/4Lost
2026-10-08
  • Fri 9 OctFluminense v CoritibaOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Sat 10 OctAcadémico de Viseu v EstorilOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Sat 10 OctMjällby AIF v Degerfors IFOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Sat 10 OctSunderland v Brighton and Hove AlbionUnder 11.5 corners76%
33.1%3.023/4Lost
2026-10-06
  • Wed 7 OctChicago Fire v Vancouver Whitecaps FCAway team under 2.5 goals76%
  • Fri 9 OctFluminense v CoritibaOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Thu 8 OctAtletico Paranaense v Atletico MineiroUnder 3.5 goals76%
  • Thu 8 OctCruzeiro v Sao PauloAway +1.576%
32.9%3.042/4Lost
2026-10-05
  • Mon 5 OctCórdoba v TenerifeOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Wed 7 OctChicago Fire v Vancouver Whitecaps FCAway team under 2.5 goals76%
  • Wed 7 OctBotafogo v Vasco da GamaAway team over 0.5 goals75%
  • Wed 7 OctVitoria v ChapecoenseHome or away (12)76%
32.8%3.054/4Won
2026-10-04
  • Mon 5 OctCórdoba v TenerifeUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Sun 4 OctGirona FC v MallorcaOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Sun 4 OctSabadell FC v Andorra CFUnder 3.5 goals76%
  • Mon 5 OctEstudiantes v Gimnasia MendozaHome draw-no-bet76%
33.0%3.032/4Lost
2026-10-03
  • Sat 3 OctAlmería v Burgos CFUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Sun 4 OctReal Sociedad B v Granada CFUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Mon 5 OctCórdoba v TenerifeUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Sun 4 OctSporting Gijón v Celta FortunaUnder 11.5 corners76%
33.2%3.012/4Lost
2026-10-02
  • Sat 3 OctBoca Juniors v Union Santa FeHome team under 2.5 goals76%
  • Sat 3 OctAlmería v Burgos CFUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Sun 4 OctReal Sociedad B v Granada CFUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Sun 4 OctSporting Gijón v Celta FortunaUnder 11.5 corners76%
33.2%3.012/4Lost
2026-10-01
  • Sat 3 OctAlmería v Burgos CFUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Sun 4 OctReal Sociedad B v Granada CFUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Sun 4 OctSporting Gijón v Celta FortunaUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Fri 2 OctSao Paulo v SantosUnder 3.5 goals76%
33.1%3.023/4Lost
2026-09-30
  • Sat 3 OctAlmería v Burgos CFUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Fri 2 OctSao Paulo v SantosUnder 3.5 goals76%
  • Sat 3 OctAlbacete v SD EibarUnder 3.5 goals76%
  • Sat 3 OctNorthampton Town v Oldham AthleticUnder 3.5 goals76%
32.8%3.05–Pending
2026-09-29
  • Sat 3 OctAlbacete v SD EibarUnder 3.5 goals76%
  • Sat 3 OctIndependiente Rivadavia v Gimnasia La PlataUnder 3.5 goals76%
  • Sat 3 OctSabadell FC v Andorra CFUnder 3.5 goals76%
  • Sat 3 OctAlmería v Burgos CFUnder 3.5 goals75%
32.6%3.073/4Lost
2026-09-28
  • Mon 28 SepLeganés v CD CastellónOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Fri 2 OctCD Eldense v OviedoUnder 11.5 corners75%
  • Wed 30 SepNew York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SCUnder 4.5 goals74%
  • Fri 2 OctIndependiente v Instituto de CórdobaAway team under 1.5 goals72%
30.5%3.282/4Lost
2026-09-27
  • Sun 27 SepBurgos CF v CD EldenseUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Sun 27 SepSD Eibar v Las PalmasUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Sun 27 SepPumas v Atlético San LuisAway +1.575%
  • Fri 2 OctCD Eldense v OviedoUnder 11.5 corners75%
32.8%3.053/4Lost
2026-09-26
  • Sat 26 SepStockport County FC v Peterborough UnitedHome team over 1.5 goals76%
  • Sun 27 SepMallorca v AlmeríaOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Sun 27 SepReal Valladolid CF v CórdobaUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Sun 27 SepOviedo v Sporting GijónUnder 11.5 corners76%
33.3%3.012/4Lost
2026-09-25
  • Sat 26 SepTijuana v AtlasOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Sat 26 SepAtlante FC v MonterreyAway team under 2.5 goals75%
  • Sat 3 OctArgentinos Juniors v CA Tigre BAHome team over 0.5 goals75%
  • Sat 3 OctAtlético Tucuman v Barracas CentralHome team over 0.5 goals72%
30.7%3.254/4Won
2026-09-24
  • Sat 26 SepTijuana v AtlasOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Sat 26 SepAtlante FC v MonterreyAway team under 2.5 goals75%
  • Sat 3 OctArgentinos Juniors v CA Tigre BAHome team over 0.5 goals74%
  • Sat 3 OctAtlético Tucuman v Barracas CentralHome team over 0.5 goals72%
30.6%3.274/4Won
2026-09-23
  • Sat 26 SepTijuana v AtlasOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Sat 26 SepAtlante FC v MonterreyAway team under 2.5 goals75%
  • Sat 3 OctArgentinos Juniors v CA Tigre BAHome team over 0.5 goals75%
  • Sat 3 OctAtlético Tucuman v Barracas CentralHome team over 0.5 goals72%
30.7%3.264/4Won
2026-09-22
  • Sat 26 SepTijuana v AtlasOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Sat 26 SepAtlante FC v MonterreyAway team under 2.5 goals75%
  • Sat 3 OctArgentinos Juniors v CA Tigre BAHome team over 0.5 goals75%
  • Sat 3 OctAtlético Tucuman v Barracas CentralHome team over 0.5 goals72%
30.7%3.264/4Won
2026-09-21
  • Sat 26 SepTijuana v AtlasOver 1.5 goals75%
  • Sat 26 SepAtlante FC v MonterreyAway team under 2.5 goals75%
  • Tue 22 SepLanus v EstudiantesHome or draw (1X)75%
  • Mon 21 SepBarracas Central v Independiente RivadaviaDraw or away (X2)70%
29.6%3.384/4Won
2026-09-20
  • Sun 20 SepFiorentina v NapoliOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Sun 20 SepVitoria v CruzeiroUnder 3.5 goals76%
  • Sun 20 SepRoyal Antwerp v Union Saint-GilloiseUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Sun 20 SepJuventus v Atalanta BCUnder 11.5 corners76%
33.1%3.023/4Lost
2026-09-19
  • Sun 20 SepFiorentina v NapoliOver 1.5 goals76%
  • Sat 19 SepCremonese v Virtus EntellaUnder 3.5 goals76%
  • Sat 19 SepLe Mans FC v LorientUnder 11.5 corners76%
  • Sun 20 SepVitoria v CruzeiroUnder 3.5 goals76%
33.2%3.023/4Lost